Friday, January 30, 2009

Free to Give? Not So Fast!

I found this article by Heather MacDonald very sobering. Believe it or not, there are interest groups so committed to enforced diversity that they're adopting a Vulcan-neck-pinch strategy toward philanthropic foundations, of all things. Here's how the argument goes: diversify your staff and your giving program or we'll get congress to change the tax code so you're no longer exempt. MacDonald elaborates:

A foundation that remains colorblind in giving and hiring is suspect, even criminal, in other words. The congressman has threatened government intervention if foundations don’t spend more on minorities and the poor; if he pushes on Capitol Hill for diversity mandates, he will likely count as allies his House Ways and Means colleagues Charles Rangel, John Conyers, and John Lewis.

Becerra argues that foundations’ assets, because they are tax-exempt, are virtually public money. Foundations are simply private managers of those public funds, in this view, and should be responsive to political pressure. Until now, Congress has required only that tax-deductible dollars go to educational, charitable, scientific, or religious purposes. Becerra, the Greenlining Institute, and other diversity advocates seek to constrict donors’ discretion in their charitable giving to supporting minority-run (or female- or LGBT-run) organizations or those that purport to serve the poor. But rather than rewriting the tax code to limit the tax deduction to these purposes, they have chosen a politically easier strategy: strong-arming foundations through the diversity-reporting requirements. These public-disclosure mandates put extra-legal pressure on foundations to obey the advocates’ definition of charity. Given how politically correct the philanthropic sector already is, foundations that do not have enough blacks on their boards or in their list of grants will rightly fear stigma. If stigma doesn’t work, Becerra has signaled his willingness to take on the tax code itself.

I found myself thinking with more than a little irritation, People should be allowed to become poor, become rich, or give away their own money in the manner of their choosing. A society that doesn't permit these things isn't free.

Indeed, no one has a right to receive charity; if they did, it wouldn't be charity but a debt paid. Part of the purpose of freedom is to give virtue the dignity of voluntary expression. Is not virtue impoverished by coercion?

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

11 Voted No...

Democrats, that is. In the House of Representatives, 11 Democrats joined all 177 of the Republicans in voting against HR 1, The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (the Stimulus package). The bill still passed, and it's likely to get bigger in the Senate, but that doesn't change the fact that opposition is the only thing that ends up being bipartisan. See the roll call vote here.

In addition, Rush Limbaugh turns out to be every bit as good at political theater as ever. Read his "Bipartisan Stimulus" plan, and then have a look at the interview he gave on CNBC. It's delightfully entertaining (as always), but also takes an interesting tactical (and perhaps instructive) approach.

Rush proposes in the editorial:
Fifty-three percent of American voters voted for Barack Obama; 46% voted for John McCain, and 1% voted for wackos. Give that 1% to President Obama. Let's say the vote was 54% to 46%. As a way to bring the country together and at the same time determine the most effective way to deal with recessions, under the Obama-Limbaugh Stimulus Plan of 2009: 54% of the $900 billion -- $486 billion -- will be spent on infrastructure and pork as defined by Mr. Obama and the Democrats; 46% -- $414 billion -- will be directed toward tax cuts, as determined by me.

Then we compare. We see which stimulus actually works. This is bipartisanship! It would satisfy the American people's wishes, as polls currently note; and it would also serve as a measurable test as to which approach best stimulates job growth.
The results of such a test would be much less measurable than Rush claims, I think, because if things continued to go badly, the tax-cut portion of the "stimulus" could always be blamed (and certainly would be, by some), while if it succeeded, the spending side could get the credit. Plus, we all know this is just too transparent and simple to have a chance of surviving even 10 seconds in Congress.

Leaving that aside, however, Rush's approach offers a glimpse of the kind of daring that a minority can leverage to its advantage. After all, when there's nothing to lose, why not use a 'both-and' proposal like this to conduct public relations and take some of the wind out of the "bi-partisan" sails Obama carefully rigged during the campaign? Genuinely bi-partisan governance involves a lot more than lofty and inspiring rhetoric hoisted up the mast; often, it involves a good bit of rowing.

Frankly, I'd like to see Obama break a little bit of a sweat on the galley bench. If he wants the support of Congressional Republicans, there are sacrifices he will have to make.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Vote No

Regardless of how they will be portrayed next week or next election, Republicans should vote against the Stimulus tonight. Even at a time when the Democratic Party (in control of all three houses of government) presides over the great era of bi-partisanship, there is good reason to let this be a party-line passage.

$825 billion is not the sort of thing you want to rush through Congress; any appeal to speed is ridiculous, even if it's to something as nice-sounding as "non-partisanship". Something that huge needs a lot of scrutiny and safeguard, and our adversarial two-party system is a great way to make sure there is sufficient scrutiny. But Pelosi is determined to ram it through the House over the reasonable objections of Republicans. Which she can do, of course, because the Democrats have a sizable majority--just don't expect an outpouring of love, okay?

Republican opposition is not just about the money for ACORN, mind you. There's a larger consideration that makes the whole project into a Trojan horse for future spending. Today's Wall Street Journal editorial puts it this way:

The larger fiscal issue here is whether this spending bonanza will become part of the annual "budget baseline" that Congress uses as the new floor when calculating how much to increase spending the following year, and into the future. Democrats insist that it will not. But it's hard -- no, impossible -- to believe that Congress will cut spending next year on any of these programs from their new, higher levels. The likelihood is that this allegedly emergency spending will become a permanent addition to federal outlays -- increasing pressure for tax increases in the bargain.

Republicans should recognize this bill for the liberal spending orgy that it is and refuse to touch it. An idea this bad deserves single-party responsibility, even if it takes a generation to undo.

UPDATE:
There is a case to be made for 'doing nothing' (as opposed to passing a stimulus bill, that is), and the reason is quite simple: if spending and borrowing habits are what created an economic crisis, borrowing and spending on a grand scale will not fix it. To read more along that line, go here.

And while we're on the subject of bad borrowing and spending habits, Jim Manzi makes some pretty salient points involving a 4-year payment plan for a...camcorder. Who would do that? Manzi's answer is, "A child." I tend to agree. We don't need a stimulus so much as we need a good dose of growing up.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

What does the 'Stimulus' Stimulate?

I'm still trying to get a grip on what the gargantuan "Stimulus" bill that Obama's desperately trying to pass without 'partisan' bickering is all about. But Jim Manzi seems to have a better handle on it than I do. He writes:

So, if this is a “normal” length recession, the spending bill will have the classic problem that fiscal stimulus does—namely, it comes too late to do much good, but right on time to help stoke inflation and mis-allocation of resources that are suddenly in high demand as the economy enters a recovery. And if this is a very long-lasting recession, more like a U.S. 1930s Depression or Japan 1990s “lost decade”, then the problem is so long-lasting that we’re not really debating a stimulus bill, we’re debating a near-permanent shift of control of resources to the government, which doesn’t exactly have a sterling track record of success. Only if this is a “Goldilocks-length” recession of more than 1-2 years, but less than a decade (which is a pretty hard beast to find in modern American history) would this temporal spending pattern turn out to be wise. [emphasis added]


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Cabbies Who Get It

One of my favorite columns at National Review is Jay Nordlinger's Impromptus. His appreciation for the need of freedom from politics (what he terms 'safe zones') is refreshing and a helpful reminder that life is much more than politics. Nordlinger's passion is music, and I never fail to learn something valuable from his numerous interviews with major musicians, composers, and conductors. But even when he's not talking about music, the people he encounters are invariably interesting.

In his most recent column (Even the Food in His Mouth! &c.), Nordlinger relates some of the substance of a converstation he had with a Fayetteville, NC cabdriver. Originally from Nigeria, the driver had a few things to say about corruption, and one struck me as particularly insightful. Nordlinger writes:

All over, he said, bribes are demanded and paid, openly. Wrongdoing is constantly ignored, papered over, accommodated. “You can’t just blame the politicians and the bureaucrats,” he said. “The people allow it to happen,” year after year, decade after decade, generation after generation.
Indeed. As my father once said, "A government can only enforce those laws that the vast majority of people will self-enforce." In other words, moral order in a society starts with the individual's self-control.

Nordlinger also congratulates the singer-songwriter Jude for his grand coming out. I think it's fun to watch how people react when they discover for the first time that I'm conservative, but that doesn't diminish the very high costs some--particularly in the entertainment industry and academia--face. I remember cringing every time I heard that "dissent is the highest form of patriotism" during the last 8 years because the subtext always seemed to be "I shouldn't bear any costs for criticizing my government." But costs come as a result of choices we make; that's a fact and we all have to face it sooner or later.

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Monday, January 26, 2009

Keeping the Goals in View

Occasionally I find tactics masquerading as strategy, and it never fails to warm the collar.

Take Bruce Bartlett's piece at Politico, for instance. If conservatives ever want to gain power again, they'll give up their clearly ineffectual hopes to reduce and/or roll back entitlement programs.

And what, I ask, will conservatives do once they regain power? They'll argue for nothing more than a responsible way to raise the money the government is going to spend anyway? This makes it sound like public opinion is utterly immovable on the question of spending, and that the only thing policymakers have any control over is how to raise the cash.

This is not--and never has been--the case. That entitlements are extremely hard to change is a fact; that they don't usually get scrapped is a reality. But recognizing those things in a tactical way--for instance, understanding that it will take a lot of argument and a large number of elections to accomplish the ultimate aims--is very different than resigning the goal for the purpose of getting elected.

Getting elected is not--or rather, should not--be the goal of any politician, conservative or otherwise. It is a means to a policy end. Nothing more. When we change the goals to gain, regain, or retain power, we turn the ideal of representative republicanism on its head.

Oh well. I suppose we'll just have to adapt to that too.

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Friday, January 23, 2009

Coming Clear

The change we've been waiting so anxiously to see is well underway, it would seem.

After assuring us all that Cheney's advice about giving Bush's policies a good look before summarily rolling them back was "good", he...well, quickly started rolling them back without much of an evaluation. But who cares? It's change!

There's also a swift change in US policy regarding Israel and Gaza. No matter that Hamas still roils the region and vows to rearm and continue launching rockets, our new administration shows us the true meaning of hope, hope against all odds, hope against all evidence, blithe unrealistic hope: Israel should open its borders with Gaza and trust the UN to prevent Hamas from rearming. Color me incredulous. Let's hope for Israel's sake that Barak or Livini or Netanyahu or whoever winds up leading Israel after this election cycle looks askance at this pie-in-the-sky.

Thankfully, some things never change. At least we know that Republicans are still spoilsport obstructionists. That's right: Republicans just don't want change to come to America. Honestly, I tend to agree. I'd like to be assured that the government won't turn our economy upside down with change, thank you. And there's plenty of reason to be leery of the government's handling of huge wads of cash. Take the bailouts, for instance. Seems a phone call to Barney Frank is all it takes to sweep some astonishing business practices under the rug and qualify for $12 billion in TARP funds. From the Boston Business Journal:

Boston’s OneUnited Bank received $12 million in federal rescue funds last month just weeks after regulators issued a cease-and-desist order to overhaul some of its lending and executive compensation practices.

Details of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s official enforcement action against OneUnited and the bank's pending $12 million infusion were first reported Dec. 5 in a Page 1 article in the Boston Business Journal. The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that the tiny bank received the bailout money after gaining influential support from Massachusetts congressman and House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank.

The funds came from the U.S. Treasury’s Troubled Asset Relief Program.

The FDIC’s cease-and-desist order said OneUnited must cut financial ties to a California-based limited liability company that owns a beachfront home in Santa Monica. OneUnited Chairman and CEO Kevin Cohee and his wife, Teri Williams, who also is the bank’s president, control the LLC, according to records with the California Secretary of State’s office.

The bank also pays for a Porsche for Cohee’s personal use.

Yeah, that's how we're going to let the government save the economy. Or not. Hold onto your wallets, folks, 'cause change is on the way.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Reality in the Middle East

Israel has officially ended Operation Cast Lead with timing that indicates uncertainty about American policy going forward. There will be much talk about the meaning of the latest battle. Some will argue that Hamas won (as Hamas is doing now), others that Israel mistakenly stopped short of victory, some will continue to argue that Israel's "disproportional response" was unwarranted or worse.

Only a lunatic could conclude that Hamas "won" the latest round in an ongoing war, unless mere continued existence is considered victory. Talk about Pyrrhic. Israel's failure to wipe out the entire leadership structure of Hamas may have been a mistake, but it's hard to see how such a goal could be accomplished on a lasting basis--new leaders could be imported or rise to the top. And the disproportional gripe is absurd on its face; what was Israel supposed to do, lob rockets indiscriminately into Gaza, or kill just as many civilians as Hamas had haphazardly managed in the past few months?

In general, wars end when one or more parties grow so tired of fighting that they are willing to give up their war aims in exchange for a cessation to conflict. Some foes are unwilling to do this, and would rather die than give up. To modern Western sensibilities, this is almost impossible to understand, which goes a long way toward explaining why Western efforts to achieve peace in the Middle East have always failed. The war will continue, and its result will matter immensely.

In all likelihood, the only really decisive end to the violence may be the total destruction of one party to the conflict; Israel is understandably hesitant to attempt such a project--the memory of the Nazi Holocaust is much too fresh for that, after all--but Iran's Mullahs would certainly like to take a crack at it if they could. The unfortunate reality is that Israel faces a years- and perhaps decades-long war ahead, one in which it must prevail in relatively small steps. But it should make clear at every turn that attempts to terrorize or destroy Israel will be met with overwhelming force. That way the costs of warfare will be borne primarily by those who continue the conflict, a good number of those who prefer death to peace will get their wish, and perhaps (a very big perhaps) a generation will arise that prefers living in peace to death attempting the extermination of Israel.

For the most part, Israel knows its enemies and is committed to periodically executing an operation against them. What Israel can never be too certain about is its friends. Israel has to fight for its continued existence, for, as is often said, the first war the Jewish state loses will be its last. The entire Arab world, including Israel's sworn enemies, is watching America with its own hopes and fears, too. America's policy under Obama's administration cannot ignore these realities, or if it does, it will be but following a time-worn Western tradition of wishful thinking.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Robots, War, and Democracy

Though certainly alarmist, P.W. Singer's analysis of the implications of an increasingly automated battleground is thought-provoking. I find the repeated parallels to the First World War interesting, but I wonder if Singer isn't pining for the good 'ol days of the Roman Republic when citizens marched out to Mars Field in order to become an army, and when the military laid down its arms before re-crossing the Tiber.

Singer concludes that 'costless war' will remain a mirage:

Whether it’s watching wars from afar or sending robots instead of fellow citizens into harm’s way, robotics offers the public and its leaders the lure of riskless warfare. All the potential gains of war would come without the costs, and even be mildly ­entertaining.

It’s a heady enticement, and not just for evil warmongers. The world watched the horrors of Bosnia, Rwanda, and Congo but did little, chiefly because the public didn’t know or care enough and the perceived costs of doing something truly effective seemed too high. Substitute unmanned systems for troops, and the calculus might be changed. Indeed, imagine all the genocides and crimes against humanity that could be ended if only the human barriers to war were lowered. Getting tired of some dictator massacring his people? Send in your superior technology and watch on YouTube as his troops are taken ­down.

Yet wars never turn out to be that simple. They are complex, messy, and unpredictable. And this will remain the case even as unmanned systems increasingly substitute for ­humans.

But let’s imagine that such fantasies of cheap and costless unmanned wars were to come true, that we could use robots to stop bad things being done by bad people, with no blowback, no muss, and no fuss. Even that prospect should give us pause. By cutting the already tenuous link between the public and its nation’s foreign policy, ­pain-­free war would pervert the whole idea of the democratic process and citizenship as they relate to war. When a citizenry has no sense of sacrifice or even the prospect of sacrifice, the decision to go to war becomes just like any other policy decision, weighed by the same calculus used to determine whether to raise bridge tolls. Instead of widespread engagement and debate over the most important decision a government can make, you get popular indifference. When technology turns war into something merely to be watched, and not weighed with great seriousness, the checks and balances that ­undergird democracy go by the wayside. This could well mean the end of any idea of democratic peace that supposedly sets our foreign-policy ­decision ­making ­apart.

Such wars without costs could even undermine the morality of “good” wars. When a nation decides to go to war, it is not just deciding to break stuff in some foreign land. As one philosopher put it, the very decision is “a reflection of the moral character of the community who decides.” Without public debate and support and without risking troops, the decision to go to war becomes the act of a nation that doesn’t give a ­damn.

Even if the nation sending in its robots acts in a just cause, such as stopping a genocide, war without risk or sacrifice becomes merely an act of somewhat selfish charity. One side has the wealth to afford high technologies, and the other does not. The only message of “moral character” a nation transmits is that it alone gets the right to stop bad things, but only at the time and place of its choosing, and most important, only if the costs are low enough. With robots, the human costs weighed against those lives that might be saved become zero. It doesn’t mean the nation shouldn’t act. But when it does, it must realize that even the just wars become exercises in playing God from afar, with unmanned weapons substituting for ­thunderbolts.



Read the whole (very long) thing.

Mr. Singer's alarm over the prospect of increased eagerness for war is misplaced, I think: Democracies' discomfort with the projection of their power has only increased with time and technology, after all. But we'd be silly to think technology will give us an unproblematic and comfortable future. There will always be a strong need for personal courage and morality to make hard decisions well, regardless of how numerous or capable our weapon systems may be.


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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

An Historic Day

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Today we witnessed the inauguration of Barack H. Obama, 44th President of the United States of America. We thus mark a continuing tradition of the peaceful handover of power from one leader to another, the ideal of a citizen government. It is not the beginning of a new age, for we know only in hindsight whether an age has ended or begun. Or, as some say, if it is the beginning of the Age of Obama, then it is a day for mourning the death of a great American ideal. A cult of personality belongs properly to one who would pacify those he oppresses, not one who governs in service to a citizenry of which he is a mere member. While we may all appreciate some of the peculiar talents and gifts a particular person may bring to the office of chief executive, it is the office to which we render our respect. After all, that is why we address the president as Mr. President and not as Your Highness.

Thus we begin a new administration with controversy over the relative greatness of a man, even before he has accomplished anything beyond a symbolic victory over a racism few even feel. It is time, then, to reflect not on Washington or Lincoln or Roosevelt or Reagan; it is time to reflect on the meaning of America, and what the office of the president really means.

There are several jobs apportioned by law to the Executive; among them are executing the Federal government’s laws, overseeing an enormous bureaucracy, and managing relations with foreign powers. In more recent years, the president has become responsible for presenting a set of administrative and legislative priorities for which he will often argue directly to the public and which he will negotiate with Congress. As Commander in Chief, the president also has final authority over all branches of the military and over the most powerful nuclear arsenal in the world. These roles bring particular challenges and difficulties with which every president has in some way struggled. In time we will see whether Obama’s talents both natural and learned will make his administration effective. Whether his policies will achieve their intended ends, a question that is very much open to debate, is a matter to be addressed elsewhere, however.

Over the last month, I have read in a leisurely fashion Peggy Noonan’s book, When Character Was King: A Story of Ronald Reagan, and I was impressed by a number of observations she made. None of them are necessarily peculiar to Reagan, though they were things he got right. In many ways Reagan does present a model worthy of emulation in his style and method if not in substance.

The first is a correction of a popular complaint. During the Reagan years, there was much carping about how he was an “actor”. Actor he certainly was, and he was certainly acting a part. The political roles changed, however, when Bill Clinton was president. There, we were treated to Rush Limbaugh’s humorous commentary on how the rubber-faced president was capable of manufactured tears when cameras came in view. We saw it on TV at the Vince Foster funeral—laughing and joking he strolled along and then, when he caught sight of a camera crew, his head bowed and the tears flowed in the time it took him to take two steps forward. Conservatives complained as loudly then as liberals had when Reagan was husbanding his soaring popularity. But the truth of the matter is that the president really does act a part just as surely as he really performs a function. He does both, and to be an actor is no crime. The object is to make the stage performance and the actual functions coherent and truthful. It is appropriate to cultivate an image, but it should be a truthful image. The task is easy enough when times are good and press conferences cover questions of little importance. The test comes with the unexpected challenge. George W. Bush came to office pledging a “New Tone” that raised the hackles of conservatives who were none too eager for compromise with Democrats. Yet after the watershed of 9/11, when at the deepest depths of unpopularity while facing scathing criticism from opponents and allies alike, the unwillingness of Dubya to defend himself and his policies at once maddened his critics and proved that his New Tone was a commitment and not ‘merely an act’. Though Obama’s commitments will undoubtedly be different, he would do well to emulate Bush’s consistency in the face of unexpected crisis.

There was an episode of The Andy Griffith Show in which Aunt Bee runs for office. Her campaign slogan was “Whatever the people want, that’s what I’m for!” Predictably, her candidacy became a farce, and she eventually found herself agreeing with her competitor and recommending that people vote for him instead of herself. Her opponent had taken time to develop clear opinions concerning certain problems and their solutions, to argue reasonably for them. Every president must do the same or risk not being taken seriously. To date, Mr. Obama has, perhaps wisely, avoided sharply defined policy statements. But now that he enters office, he will have to decide on his priorities and guiding principles. What’s more, he will have to risk unpopularity in order to attempt some of the things he will undoubtedly believe necessary. Reagan didn’t let wide unpopularity of a policy stop him from promoting it, choosing instead to argue more often and more clearly and in more venues. Sometimes it worked and he got what he wanted; sometimes it didn’t. But it was the right thing to do. Bush learned this too: when faced with the choice of managed defeat at the advice of the Pentagon and his own chiefs of staff, Bush took the lead and pushed strenuously for the “Surge” in Iraq, a move that was hardly popular at the time but which has proven well-founded and successful. The hard decisions come unlooked-for, and a president must make them, like it or no. The manner and content of those decisions say more about his character than any other function in the office.

Reagan’s two terms in office gave him some difficulties that those of us outside the mechanisms of the bureaucracy often forget about. His staff experienced some turnover—old timers departed and a fresh string came onboard. It has been said of Reagan that he was a great delegator, and that is true; it also presented a problem of understanding. Early staffers knew that he wanted to be kept informed of ongoing details, but that he also delegated responsibility. Later staffers sometimes got the wrong impression and thought that he didn’t want to be bothered by details, and this cost his administration some of its effectiveness. Every president must delegate, but the bureaucracy which the president heads is over 2 million strong. It is impossible for a president to govern effectively by micromanaging. Thus the working relationship between a president and his immediate subordinates must be constructed with presence of mind, for mutual understanding is essential. Failure to achieve understanding will at best produce policy incoherence and a general unresponsiveness to the Chief Executive; at worst it will embarrass and humiliate him. Good governance starts with good management at the top levels.

Finally, what Reagan understood and which every president should bear in mind at all times is that the role of the president is to serve the interests of the United States of America. He is not primarily the servant of an ideology—be it “liberal” or “conservative” or environmental or religious, whatever those may mean—it is to a nation. The president is responsible for defending and protecting its very existence, its laws, its institutions, and yes, even the intangible things like The American Dream. Ultimately the presidency is about America, not about the president. We wish the president well because we wish America well; we hope for his success because we hope for America’s success.

Today we make history, but what kind of history we don’t yet know. Some good and some bad, and some that will be hard to define, no doubt. As Master Samwise so clearly saw upon the borders of Mordor in Tolkein’s beloved fantasy, the way with great tales is that someone reading years hence “may know, or guess, what kind of a tale it is, happy-ending or sad-ending, but the people in it don't know.” And when it comes right down to it, it would be wrong to want them to know. And so we find ourselves in a tale, a true one. And what they say about us years and years from now nobody knows. But if it’s a tale worth telling, we may be assured the adventure wasn’t one we sought out because “life was a bit dull” but because our path was “laid that way.” There will be many opportunities for tucking tail and turning back, so let us firmly determine to do what we believe is right at every turn, though we be uncertain of the outcome or of our place in it, and though we face discouragement and even despair.

We wish you well, Mr. President, though we will certainly disagree with you and oppose some of your policies even from day one. But we join in the celebration of the civic tradition of America that has brought us here and will, with God’s help, continue to bless our people for generations to come. We will be watching, Mr. Obama; may you serve America well.